GE2017 – Gains and losses

So how was it for you? On an extraordinary election night Mrs May’s Conservatives lost their overall majority and now appear to be relying on the support of the DUP to continue in government.

Mrs May’s gamble failed, but how did my betting go? I’ve been through all the tips I’ve made through the course of the blog and I’m pretty happy with my success rate. Throughout the campaign I was more positive than the markets on Labour’s chances – a hunch which paid off on the spreads as well as fixed odds and, generally speaking, my constituency tips bore fruit.

Here’s a full breakdown of my tips (hope you were on!):

25/4 – UKIP under 0.5 seats – 2/9 – WON

27/4 – Lib Dems to win Bath – 5/6 – WON

30/4 – Over 152.5 Labour seats – 5/6 – WON

3/5 – Labour to win Broxtowe – 12/1 – Lost (although v. close, Con held by just 863 votes)

4/5 – Lib Dems to win Bermondsey – 4/6 – Lost

6/5 – UKIP under 0.5 seats – 1/10 – WON

8/5 – Conservatives to win Eltham – 4/9 – Lost

11/5 – Labour to win Sheffield Hallam – 6/1  – WON

17/5 – Lib Dems over 13.5 seats – 5/6 – Lost

25/5 – Labour to win Gower – 7/2 – WON

26/5 – Labour to hold Ealing Central & Acton – 6/5 – WON

28/5 – Labour to win Sheffield Hallam – 7/2– WON

29/5 – Labour to win Bury North – 7/2 – WON

29/5 – Labour to win Bolton West – 13/2 – Lost

1/6 – Over 63% turnout – 4/5 – WON

5/6 – Labour to hold Hampstead & Kilburn – 4/11 – WON

*

On the spreads I recommended a BUY of Labour seats @ 186 (75 point win) and a SELL of Conservative seats @ 375 (57 point win)

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