Conservatives: Av u/o seats = 390.5 – 24hr change = -6
Labour: Av u/o seats = 175.5 – 24 hr = +6.3
Lib Dems: Av u/o seats = 12.2 – 24 hr = 0
Spreadex | Con 385-391 (24hr = -5)| Lab 168-174 (+4) | LD 14 – 17 (0)
Sporting Index | Con 384-390 (-9) | Lab 170-176 (+6) | LD 14-17 (-1)
(2015 result | Con 330 | Lab 232 | LD 8)
Sizeable shifts in the betting off the back of a YouGov poll showing the Conservative lead over Labour to have narrowed to 9pts. It’s the first time the gap has been in single figures since the start of the campaign.
Sporting Index spent much of the day with its seat markets suspended as they digested the polling news, eventually re-opening with the Conservative quote down 9 on yesterday at 384-390 with Labour up 6 to 170-176. Spreadex slightly less volatile with Con down 5 and Labour up 4.
Across the fixed odds markets plenty of stories of money coming in for Labour and Corbyn. Labour to win most seats now as short as 8/1 (Paddy Power). Similarly on Betfair Labour most seats into 18 from over 30 earlier in the week.
A blip or a trend? Further polls through the coming week will shed some light.