GE2017 – Tracker – Saturday 20th May – Campaign so far

Conservatives: Av u/o seats = 396.5 – 24hr change = -1.3 | Week change = -2.3

Labour: Av u/o seats = 169.2 – 24 hr = +2.4 | Week = +10.3

Lib Dems: Av u/o seats = 12.2 – 24 hr = -0.2 | Week = -3.3

*

Spreadex | Con 390-396 (24hr = -2)| Lab 164-170 (0) | LD 14 – 17 (0)

Sporting Index | Con 393-399 (0) | Lab 164-170 (0) | LD 15-18 (0)

(2015 result | Con 330 | Lab 232 | LD 8)

*

A decent week for Labour with the average under/over seats line now just shy of 170, ten higher than seven days ago. However, the bookies still have the Tories in for around 395 seats, a return that would give Mrs May a thumping majority of 140 – very definitely landslide territory.

Let’s take a look at how the parties’ prospects have fluctuated through the campaign so far according to the betting markets:

Fixed odds campaign may20.png

spreads campaign may 20.png

Still a big gap between the parties. Will be interesting to see how the betting responds to tonight’s YouGov poll that has the gap between the Conservatives and Labour down to 9 pts, the narrowest of the campaign so far.

Advertisements

So you know better? Leave your thoughts

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s