GE2017 – Tracker – Friday 12th May

Conservatives: Av u/o seats = 399.2 – 24hr change = 0 | Week change = +10.7

Labour: Av u/o seats = 158.8 – 24 hr = 0 | Week = -2.7

Lib Dems: Av u/o seats = 15.5 – 24 hr = 0 | Week = -7.3

*

Spreadex | Con 397-403 (24hr = 0)| Lab 153-159 (0) | LD 15.5-18.5 (-0.5)

Sporting Index | Markets suspended at time of writing

(2015 result | Con 330 | Lab 232 | LD 8)

*

For all the sound and fury surrounding the Labour manifesto leak and subsequent clause V meeting the betting markets have barely shifted. Proof that it’s leadership over policy that’s the election’s key factor?

One story to be aware of from a constituency betting perspective is the UKIP candidate list and the news that the party will not be standing in a significant number of constituencies. There’s competing analysis doing the rounds on this: one view is that this gives Conservatives a ‘free run’ in anti-Brexit marginals against Lab incumbents, whilst @election_data on Twitter suggests that the UKIP surrender might give Labour candidates and voters ‘clarity of purpose’.

Advertisements

So you know better? Leave your thoughts

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s