GE2017 – Tracker – Thursday 4th May – A Straight Choice

Conservatives: Av u/o seats = 388.5 – 24hr change = 0

Labour: Av u/o seats = 161.5 – 24hr change = +0.7

Lib Dems: Av u/o seats = 22.8 – 24hr change = -0.4


Spreadex | Con 390-396 (24hr +3)| Lab 155-161 (-1) | LD 24-27 (-1)

Sporting Index | Con 384-390 (0) | Lab 161-167 (+1) | LD 22-25 (-2)

(2015 result | Con 330 | Lab 232 | LD 8)


Ding ding! A new high for the Conservatives – 390-396 seats spread offered by Spreadex is the highest of the campaign. And a new low for the Lib Dems – the under/over 21.5 seats available at Ladbrokes is the smallest so far (Paddy Power had under/over 34.5 Lib Dem seats the day after the calling of the election).

Local elections today, but don’t worry, there’s no need to burn the midnight oil to watch the results roll in from leisure centres around the land. Outcomes from Scotland, Wales and the Shires (plus the ‘metro mayor’ races should anyone care) will drift in from 5am or so through the rest of Friday.

I recommend a follow of the excellent @britainelects on twitter for a thorough and accessible results service.

If you want a bit of interest, Andy Street (Con) to win West Midlands Mayor – 1/2 Ladbrokes – seems decent. Very positive noises coming from the ground for the ex-John Lewis man – ‘Never Knowingly Underpriced’.


No elections in London today, but the Bermondsey & Old Southwark constituency is an interesting one in the general election. A marginal, it’s a ‘straight choice’ between the Liberal Democrats (4/6) and Labour (Evens) – not much sign of a progressive alliance here.

Simon Hughes (MP for the constituency 1997-2015) is attempting to win back the seat for the Lib Dems from his 2015 Labour vanquisher Neil Coyle. With a middling majority of 4,489 to overturn in an area that voted nearly 75% for Remain, Hughes could be a lot shorter than the 4/6 Paddies offer.


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